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  • Salathé, E.P., P.W. Mote, M.W. Wiley, 2007: Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States Pacific Northwest. Int. J. of Climatology. Accepted.

This paper reviews methods for evaluating global climate simulations and downscaling global climate scenarios for the assessment of climate impacts on hydrologic systems in the Pacific Northwest, USA. The approach described is applied for integrated assessment research in support of regional resource management. Global climate model scenarios are evaluated and selected based on historic 20th Century simulations. A statistical downscaling method is then applied to produce a regional data set. To facilitate the use of climate projections in hydrologic assessment, we apply additional statistical mapping to generate synthetic station time series. Finally, we describe results from a regional climate model that indicate important differences in the regional climate response from what is captured by global models and statistical downscaling.

Full Article: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~salathe/Papers.html

Last Updated: 2007-02-27

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