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  • Sherstyukov B.G., 2005: Scenarios of the Moscow region climate until 2050. Rusian Meteorology and Hydrology, 7, 26-32.

Scenarios of climatechange with the full models ECHAM4, HadCM3 and CGCM2 for the period until 2050 are examined. Analysis of trends of the time-space variability of Russian climate in the 20th centure is carried out. It is shown that the time-space dispersion of the air temperature in Russia grows faster than average temperature. The specialized model characteristics of a forthcoming climate are calculated: hydrothermal factor and characteristics of the heating period for the first half of the 21st century. Model estimates of the hydrothermal factor for the vegetativ period show its decrease in the Moscow region in the first half of the 21st centure, but this decrease is insignificant. THe duration of the heating period is expected to decreas by 16 days by the mid-21st ceture and heat losses of building are estimated to be reduced by 16% per season.

Last Updated: 2007-07-25

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