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  • Kripalani, R.H., Ashwini Kulkarni, and S.S. Sabade, 2005: South Asian monsoon precipitation variability: Coupled climate model projections under IPCC AR4. CLIVAR Exchanges, 10(3), 13-15.

Future monsoon precipitation scenarios are examined with respect to 3 models (cnrm-cm3;miroc3.2-hires and ukmo-hadcm3). For country as a whole precipitation is projected to increase by about 5 %, but regional precipitation over Northwest India and the Southeast peninsular (the regions of low rainfall during summer monsoon) is projected to increase by about 40 %. Wavelet analysis (model cnrm-cm3 only) suggests that in the warming world, the low frequency variability normally associated with the decadal Pacific variability may shift to high frequency variability related with the biennial Indian Ocean oscillation.

Last Updated: 2006-04-02

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