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Silviculture in a Changing Climate

PI: John Bradford
Institution: US Forest Service
Abstract:
We are planning to examine the impact of changing climatic conditions on silvicultural sustainability. Our work will focus on the forested region surrounding the great lakes of North America. This area is currently a source of significant timber, providing both fiber and employment.

Our approach will include examining GCM model output to define both a range of potential future conditions and a smaller range of more likely conditions for this specific region. We will incorporate this insight about future conditions into ecological simulation models that estimate forest growth and productivity as a function of the environment in which the trees are grown.

Output from the simulation models will provide a framework for addressing the ecological and economic sustainability of silvicultural practices in a changing climate.

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