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Modeling the role of fire on high latitude carbon

PI: Michael Balshi
Institution: University of Alaska Fairbanks
Abstract:
Our work consists of modeling the role of wildfire on the carbon dynamics of boreal North America. We have developed a large-scale wildfire model that is driven by daily climate (temperature, precipitation, humidity, wind speed) and is based on historically recorded fire for this region. Our next step is to extrapolate this model for future scenarios of climate change.

We then plan to couple the future area burned output to a large-scale biogeochemical model to understand the role of fire in the carbon dynamics of boreal North America for future scenarios of climate change.
Publications:
  • Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, J. Walsh, and J.M. Melillo, 2008: Modeling historical and future area burned of western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach.. Global Change Biology, 15, 578-600, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01679.x. Abstract. Edit.
  • Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P.A. Duffy, M. Flannigan, D.W. Kicklighter, J.M. Melillo, 2009: The vulnerability of carbon storage in boreal North America during the 21st Century to increases in wildfire activity.. Global Change Biology. In press. Abstract. Edit.
  • Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, E.S. Kasischke, C. Wirth, M. Flannigan, J. Harden, J.S. Clein, T. Burnside, J. McAllister, W. Kurz, M. Apps, and A. Shvidenko, 2007: The role of fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: A process-based analysis.. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, doi:10.1029/2006JG000380. Abstract. Edit.

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