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Statistical-empirical downscaling

PI: Rasmus Benestad
Institution: The Norwegian Meteorological Institute
Abstract:
I read the piece in EOS vol 85, no. 29, July 20, 2004 "Solicitating Participation in Climate Model Analyses leading to IPCC Fourth Assessment. I am interested in participating in the analysis of the results: statistical-empirical downscaling (using a common EOF frame work and clim.pact available from http://cran.r-project.org; see upcoming article in EOS) & model evaluation. I look at trends in mean values, but will also look at extremes.
Publications:
  • B. Etzelmüller, T. V. Schuler, K. Isaksen, H. H. Christiansen,1, H. Farbrot1 and R. Benestad, 2011: Modelling past and future permafrost conditions in Svalbard. The Cryosphere, doi:10.5194/tcd-4-1-2010. Submitted. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Benestad, R.E, 2011: A new global set of downscaled temperature scenarios. J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3687.1. In press. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Benestad, R.E., 2006: Can we expect more extreme precipitation on the monthly time scale?. Journal of Climate, 19, 630-637, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3656.1. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Benestad, R.E., 2005: Climate change scenarios for northern Europe from multi-model IPCC AR4 climate simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L17704, doi:10.1029/2005GL023401. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Benestad, R.E., 2007: Novel methods for inferring future changes in extreme rainfall over northern Europe. Climate Research, 34, 195-210, doi: 10.3354/cr00693. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Benestad, R.E., 2009: Downscaling Precipitation Extremes: Correction of Analog Models through PDF Predictions. Theor. & Appl. Clim, DOI: 10.1007/s00704-009-0158-1. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Benestad, R.E., I. Hanssen-Bauer and E.J. Førland, 2007: An evaluation of statistical models for downscaling precipitation and their ability to capture long-term trends. Int. J. Clim., 27, 649-665, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1421. Abstract. Edit.
  • Hanssen-Bauer I., Achberger C., Benestad R.E., Chen D., Førland E.J, 2005: Statistical downscaling of climate scenarios over Scandinavia: A review. Clim. Res, 29, 255-268. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Isaksen, K., Benestad, R.E., Harris, C., and Sollid, J.L., 2007: Recent extreme permafrost temperatures on Svalbard in relation to future climate scenarios. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L17502, doi:10.1029/2007GL031002. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Snäll T, Benestad R.E, Stenseth N.C., 2009: Expected future plague levels in a wildlife host under different scenarios of climate change. Global Change Biology, 15, 500-507, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01725.x. Abstract. Edit.

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