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Predictability of dangerous weather at monthly, seasonal, and longer time scales

PI: Mxolisi Shongwe
Institution: KNMI
Abstract:
In my project I am investigating mechanisms responsible for the occurrence of extreme events at monthly, seasonal and longer times scales. I am also involved in study in which we are investigating the likely changes in extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming. For this study I use input data from the IPCC AR4 models.
Publications:
  • Shongwe, M. E., G. J. van Oldenborgh, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk and M. K. van Aalst, 2009: Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming, Part II: East Africa. J. Climate. Submitted. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Shongwe, M. E., G. J. van Oldenborgh, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, B. de Boer, C. A. S. Coelho and M. K. van Aalst, 2009: Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming. Part 1: Southern Africa. J. Climate, 22, 3819-3837, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2317.1. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.

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