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Climate in 50 years

PI: Stefan Fronzek
Institution: Finnish Environment Institute
Abstract:
CMIP3 model data will be used with impact models that simulate the spatial distribution of sporadic permafrost in N European palsa mires. This work is a continuation of earlier work presented in Fronzek et al. (2006) where TAR-GCM simulations were applied. Improvements of the palsa models and a better assessment of uncertainties are the focus of our ongoing research.
Publications:
  • Fronzek, S., T.R. Carter, J. Räisänen, L. Ruokolainen and M. Luoto, 2010: Applying probabilistic projections of climate change with impact models: a case study for sub-arctic palsa mires in Fennoscandia. Climatic Change, 99, 515-534, doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9679-y. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.

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