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Biotic sensitivity in northwest North America

PI: Daniel Gavin
Institution: University of Oregon
Abstract:
Our work involves developing bioclimatic models of the potential distributions of species, and examining the sensitivity of these distributions to past and future climates. The work involves the computational steps of 1) calibrating and verifying bioclimatic models (often using variables derived from monthly means, such as related to the water balance), 2) downscaling climate model output onto topography, and 3) developing ensemble predictions from suites of GCMs and suites of statistical bioclimatic models. Output will be analyzed with the intent of assessing extinction risk, especially of narrowly endemic species. The focus of the work is on the biota of northwestern North America.
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    Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory  |  Physical & Life Sciences Directorate