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Development of methods for generating climate projections

PI: Ian Macadam
Institution: CSIRO
We seek to develop methods for generating projections of future climate conditions from the output of multiple climate models. Key research questions relate to how the output of multiple models should be combined to generate such projections and how the output of different models should be weighted.
  • Macadam, I., A. J. Pitman, P. H. Whetton, and G. Abramowitz, 2010: Ranking climate models by performance using actual values and anomalies: Implications for climate change impact assessments. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L16704, 10.1029/2010GL043877. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Watterson, I.G., 2008: Calculation of probability density functions for temperature and precipitation change under global warming. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D12106, doi:10.1029/2007JD009254. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Whetton, P., I. Macadam, J. Bathols, and J. O'Grady, 2007: Assessment of the use of current climate patterns to evaluate regional enhanced greenhouse response patterns of climate models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L14701, doi:10.1029/2007GL030025. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.

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