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Time-varying characteristics of global climate extremes in a high CO2 world

PI: Tom Holt
Institution: University of East Anglia
Additional Investigators: Lars Barring
Summary: We would create a number of key indices of climate extremes in the form of annual maxima and consider the evolution of the parameters of the Generalised Extreme Value distribution and associated indicators such as return levels. Of particular note will be the nature of changes in bootstrapped confidence levels. Do they progress smoothly or change non-linearly above certain thresholds?

Data required (all daily): 1% CO2 run to doubling with an additional 150 years at 2xCO2 + control run
1% CO2 run to quadrupling with an additional 150 years at 4xCO2 + control run.

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    Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory  |  Physical & Life Sciences Directorate