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Changes in East African precipitation variability and extremes under climate change

PI: Clair Hanson
Institution: University of East Anglia
Additional Investigators: Declan Conway
The aims of this study will be to: i) analyse the range of uncertainty in the climate projections ii) validating GCM output in order to assess the confidence of future simulations of climate change. This will include an examination of the ability of the GCMs to reproduce the relationship between large-scale ENSO, IOD and East African rainfall.

Model data required:

Variables: Daily precipitation, daily surface temperature, daily mean sea level pressure, U and V wind components at the surface and upper atmosphere (where available).

Simulations: 20th century historical run, 21st century scenario runs (SRES A1FI, A2 and B2), all ensemble members (where available) in order to assess the significance of any identified changes, and the control run.

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    Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory  |  Physical & Life Sciences Directorate