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Risk analysis of future climate change and variability on agriculture in East Asia

PI: Motoki Nishimori
Institution: National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences
Additional Investigators: Masayuki Yokozawa, Hitoshi Toritani, Yasushi Ishigooka, Yousay Hayashi, Hiroaki Ueda
Abstract:
Subjects :
1.Development of statistical downscaling method
to project regional year-to-year climate change of East Asia
by using the latest results of multi-AOGCMs.
2.Stochastic risk analysis on the variation of agricultural environment
and potential agricultural production in East Asia
based on above downscaled climate change scenario.

Model data required:
Monthly and daily
temperature (average, maximum and minimum)
precipitation
short-wave radiation
relative humidity or water vapor pressure
surface wind speed
surface and sea level pressures
geopotential height and wind vector at 850, 500, 200 hPa field
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