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IPCC Hydrology Analysis

PI: Marcia Branstetter
Institution: Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Additional Investigators: David Erickson
We would like to do an analysis of the response of surface hydrology to various climate change scenarios. Specifically, we would like to look at surface and subsurface runoff, soil moisture, and precipitation (both convective and large-scale), along with surface temperature and latent and sensible heat fluxes for reference. The scenarios we are interested in are the pre-industrial control, present-day control, climate of the 20th century, committed climate change, 1%/year CO2 to doubling and quadrupling, as well as the SRES A2, A1B, and B1. The model were are interested in analyzing is the CCSM3. The objective of this analysis is to determine if the climate change scenarios conducted show an increase in extremes in the hydrologic cycle and to gauge the variability of the resulting hydrologic cycle, with a particular emphasis on variability in river discharge.

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