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Extreme wind speeds in Northern Hemisphere winter and mid-latitude cyclones

PI: Uwe Ulbrich
Institution: Freie Universitat Berlin, University of Cologne
Additional Investigators: Thomas Spangehl, Joaquim Pinto, Gregor Leckebusch
Abstract:
The subject of this initiative will be a comprehensive analysis of the mean state and the variability of the northern hemisphere stormtrack activity (defined as the bandpass filtered geopotential height, e.g. 500 hPa) on different time scales. Special emphasis will be laid on the identification of the reliability of the anthropogenic influence on Europe and its relationship to potential baroclinic instability changes (e.g. eady-parameter).
Publications:
  • Leckebusch, G.C., B. Koffi, U. Ulbrich, J. Pinto, T. Spangehl, and S. Zacharias, 2006: Analysis of frequency and intensity of winter storm events in Europe on synoptic and regional scales from a multi-model perspective. Climate Research, 31, 59-74. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, L. Fröhlich, J.G. Pinto, 2007: Property loss potentials for European mid-latitude storms in a changing climate.. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L05703, doi:10.1029/2006GL027663. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Pinto, J.G., L. Fröhlich, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2007: Changes in storm loss potentials over Europe under modified climate conditions in an ensemble of simulations of ECHAM5/MPI-OM1. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 165–175. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Pinto, J.G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, and P. Speth, 2006: Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment. Meteorol. Z. NF, 15, 279-291. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Pinto, J.G., U. Ulbrich, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl, M. Reyers, S. Zacharias, 2007: Changes in storm track and cyclone activity in three SRES ensemble experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM. Clim. Dyn., 29, 195-210, doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0230-4. Abstract. Edit.
  • Ulbrich, U., J.G. Pinto, H. Kupfer, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl and M. Reyers, 2007: Changing Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks in an Ensemble of IPCC Climate Change Simulations. J Climate, 21, 1669–1679. Abstract. Edit.

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