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Impact of Climate Change on Rainfall Extremes

PI: Solomon Demissie
Institution: National University of Ireland, Galway
Abstract:
We are trying to assess the impact of climate change on rainfall extremes and on the hydrological responses using both re-analysis and GCM outputs. At the moment, we established good relationships between local rainfall statistics and NCEP/NCAR re-nalysis variables. But, the relationships were not good enough when we replace the re-analysis variables with that of the IPCC TAR analysis. Therefore, we decided to try the IPCC AR4 outputs for the stochastic downscaling of large-scale atmospheric processes. During this exercise, the IPCC AR4 analysis would be compared with that of IPCC TAR analysis, NCEP/NCAR re-analysis and ERA40 re-analysis.
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