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Impact of Global Warming on the Hydrological Cycle of the Middle East

PI: Jason Evans
Institution: Yale University
Additional Investigators: Benjamin Zaitchik, Ronald Smith
Abstract:
By examination of the multiple model and scenario runs performed for the upcoming IPCC report we will examine the potential changes global warming will cause to the hydrological cycle of the Middle East. The uncertainty associated with the choice of model, and choice of emission scenario will also be examined. Differences between these GCM based predictions and those obtained using a regional climate model nested within a GCM will also be investigated.
Publications:
  • Evans, J.P., 2008: Changes in Water Vapor Transport and the Production of Precipitation in the Eastern Fertile Crescent as a Result of Global Warming. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 9, 1390-1401, doi:10.1175/2008JHM998.1. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.
  • Evans, J.P., and B.F.Zaitchik, 2008: Modeling the large-scale water balance impact of different irrigation systems. Water Resour. Res., 44, doi:10.1029/2007WR006671. Abstract. Full Article. Edit.

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