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Circulation pattern changes and their influence on the hydroclimate of British Columbia, Canada

PI: Kerstin Stahl
Institution: University of British Columbia
Abstract:
Western Canada's hydroclimate is strongly influenced by the atmospheric circulation in the Northwest Pacific. Particularly, winter temperatures and precipitation depend strongly on the frequency and persistence of certain synoptic situations. Of particular concern are warmer winter temperatures and a reduced snow pack. We have established a synoptic classification based on reanalysis data and are now interested in investigating how the GCMs reproduce and predict changes in the circulation patterns in the region. Depending on the findings we may apply statistical downscaling methods to assess the potential impact on BC's hydroclimate.
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