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Improving climate change impacts predictions on biodiversity

PI: Barend Erasmus
Institution: University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa
Additional Investigators: Sander Oom, Andrew McKechnie
Abstract:
My principal interest is climate change impacts on biodiversity. The most common approach (for myself, and many other in the literature) has been to define the climate niche of the taxon (or taxa) of interest and model changes to these niches under GCM-predicted change conditions. My previous work only used the outputs from one GCM, and I would like to expand my research to see how variable are predicted biodiversity impacts under different GCM predictions, and limit robust predictions to those areas where predicted impacts agree. Additionally, I am investigating a process-based approach to impacts predictions by identifying range limiting factors from a physiological point of view.
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