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Climate change and water availability in the Middle East North African region

PI: Paul Berrisford
Institution: University of Reading
Abstract:
In an inter-disciplinary project focussed on the Middle East, North African (MENA) region, the results from climate models for various times in the past 2 millennia are being compared with hydrological and paleo-environmental indicators of climate, in particular water availability, and also with changes in human civilisation as suggested by archaeological investigations. Simulations of water availability in the current climate are being evaluated by comparison with real data. With this background of the past and present it is intended to consider the implications for the 21st century of the results given by our own high-resolution climate simulations. As a first step in looking at the future water availability in the region, the intention here is to evaluate the results given by the range of AR4 models.
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