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Past and possible future climate change in the San Juan Basin, USA

PI: Bill Mills
Institution: Tetra Tech
Abstract:
We (Tetra Tech) are working on a project for the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and Electricity de France (EDF), and we are examining both past and possible future climate change in the San Juan Basin in the Four Corners part of the USA (NM, AZ, UT, CO). We would like to examine alternative sets of climate model output to help us choose plausible future scenarios to simulate using an EPRI watershed model. The time frame of interest to us is the next 50 years or so. To date , we have examined past climate information in the basin, including paleo indicators of temperature and precipitation. There has been a noticable late 20th century warming pattern within the basin, and we hope that climate models can help us to better quantify future changes.
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