Cloud Feedbacks



Other MIPs



Google Calendar

Lab Calendar

Site Map


Privacy & Legal Notice

Thanks to Our Sponsors:

PCMDI > WCRP CMIP3 Model Output > Diagnostic Subprojects Printer Friendly Version
<< Back to WCRP CMIP3 Subprojects

Precipitation extremes in the western US-Mexico bo

PI: Tereza Cavazos
Institution: CICESE
There is consistent evidence from observations and models that suggests that a gradual global warming may lead to significant changes in the long-term trend and variability of extreme events. The climate of the western United States Mexico border region (WBR) is highly variable from year to year. These extreme climatic fluctuations have a strong impact on the environment, with important implications in diverse socio-economical sectors of the region especially in relation to the availability, use, and management of water at the bi-national level. We propose: (1) to quantify the seasonal changes of the frequency and intensity of droughts and floods in the WBR using station precipitation data for Mexico and the US; (2) determine the spatial modes of precipitation variability and relate these to hemispheric scale ocean and atmosphere forcing patterns for winter and summer; (3) examine and clarify the ability of climate models to simulate and project climate extremes including changes in frequency, intensity and duration of extremes in the WBR; and (4) assess a statistical-dynamical downscaling in strategic locations of the WBR to analyze the probability of the local changes of extreme events under climate change scenarios.

    Add Publication

    << Back to WCRP CMIP3 Subprojects
    For questions or comments regarding this website, please contact the Webmaster.
    Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory  |  Physical & Life Sciences Directorate