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The Impact of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclone Genesis

PI: Bing Fu
Institution: MET/SOEST/University of Hawaii
Abstract:
Currently, a lot of debates exist related to global warming/climate change. One of them is if global warming/climate change will induce more intense hurricanes/ typhoons. This debate arises from the occurrence of more devastating hurricanes/typhoons in this decade, and became perfervid with the ruin of New Orleans by Katrina last year. So far, there is no confident report on this issue though some preliminary examinations (Henderson et al. 1998) was conducted and published recent years.

We want to do some research on this issue. The basic idea is we assume there must have some kind of relationships between TC genesis/intensity and SST. But these relationships are mixed with the relationships between TC genesis/intensity and large-scale dynamic background. Thus we first want to try to separate those relationships with the observational data or IPCC model analysis data. With those obtained separated relationships, second, we want to find out what is the impact of climate change on tropical cyclone genesis and intensity based on climate change projections from IPCC model outputs.
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